Premier League · Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 01:00 PM
Manchester City FCvsSunderland AFC
Outcome probabilities
78%
17%
Man City winDrawSunderland win
Man City
78%
fair odds 1.28
Draw
17%
fair odds 5.83
Sunderland
5%
fair odds 20.93
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
2.35 - 0.49
Both teams to score
36%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Under 2.5 goals
46%
Head to head · last 2
1
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
3
Goals for
0
Goals against
Form & scorers
Man City · last 5
WWWWW
5W · 0D · 0L
Sunderland · last 4
LDWL
1W · 1D · 2L
Top scorers playing today
- Erling HaalandMan City4goals
Premier League top scorers
- 1Bukayo SakaArsenal3
- 2Marcus TavernierBournemouth3
- 3João PedroChelsea3
- 4Morgan RogersChelsea3
- 5Alexander IsakLiverpool3
- 6Kevin SchadeBrentford3
- 7Bruno FernandesMan United3
- 8Kai HavertzArsenal2
Most likely scorelines
- #12 - 016.2%
- #23 - 012.7%
- #31 - 012.6%
- #41 - 17.9%
- #52 - 17.9%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →