Championship · Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 02:00 PM
Birmingham City FCvsMiddlesbrough FC
Outcome probabilities
40%
29%
31%
Birmingham winDrawMiddlesbrough win
Birmingham
40%
fair odds 2.48
Draw
29%
fair odds 3.43
Middlesbrough
31%
fair odds 3.27
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.53 - 1.31
Both teams to score
59%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Under 2.5 goals
46%
Head to head · last 6
0
Wins
0
Draws
6
Losses
3
Goals for
11
Goals against
- LMar 2, 2026Birmingham 1 - 3 MiddlesbroughChampionship
- LNov 8, 2025Middlesbrough 2 - 1 BirminghamChampionship
- LMar 12, 2024Birmingham 0 - 1 MiddlesbroughChampionship
- LOct 21, 2023Middlesbrough 1 - 0 BirminghamChampionship
- LJan 2, 2023Birmingham 1 - 3 MiddlesbroughChampionship
- LOct 5, 2022Middlesbrough 1 - 0 BirminghamChampionship
Form & scorers
Birmingham · last 5
WLDDW
2W · 2D · 1L
Middlesbrough · last 5
WWDWL
3W · 1D · 1L
Top scorers playing today
- William LankshearMiddlesbrough5goals
Championship top scorers
- 1Cyle LarinSouthampton7
- 2Ethan GalbraithStoke4
- 3Mohamed ToureNorwich4
- 4Jarrod BowenWest Ham4
- 5Andri GuðjohnsenBlackburn3
- 6Raúl JiménezWolverhampton3
- 7Jimmy MorganWest Brom3
- 8Adam IdahSwansea3
Most likely scorelines
- #11 - 113.8%
- #22 - 18.9%
- #30 - 08.0%
- #41 - 27.7%
- #51 - 06.8%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →