Bundesliga · Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 01:30 PM
Borussia Mönchengladbachvs1. FSV Mainz 05
Outcome probabilities
35%
31%
34%
M'gladbach winDrawMainz win
M'gladbach
35%
fair odds 2.89
Draw
31%
fair odds 3.25
Mainz
35%
fair odds 2.88
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.31 - 1.31
Both teams to score
56%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Under 2.5 goals
51%
Head to head · last 6
1
Wins
4
Draws
1
Losses
7
Goals for
8
Goals against
Form & scorers
M'gladbach · last 3
LLL
0W · 0D · 3L
Mainz · last 3
LWD
1W · 1D · 1L
Top scorers playing today
- Phillip TietzMainz3goals
Bundesliga top scorers
- 1Younes EbnoutalibFrankfurt3
- 2Patrik SchickLeverkusen3
- 3Yuito SuzukiFreiburg3
- 4Igor MatanovicFreiburg3
- 5Michael GregoritschAugsburg3
- 6Josha VagnomanStuttgart2
- 7Ridle BakuRB Leipzig2
- 8Tim SkarkeUnion Berlin2
Most likely scorelines
- #11 - 114.7%
- #20 - 09.5%
- #31 - 28.2%
- #42 - 18.2%
- #50 - 17.3%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →