Primeira Liga · Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 07:30 PM
FC PortovsSport Lisboa e Benfica
Outcome probabilities
75%
21%
Porto winDrawSL Benfica win
Porto
75%
fair odds 1.34
Draw
21%
fair odds 4.82
SL Benfica
5%
fair odds 21.92
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.94 - 0.35
Both teams to score
27%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
Under 2.5 goals
60%
Head to head · last 6
1
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
9
Goals for
11
Goals against
Form & scorers
Porto · last 5
WLWWW
4W · 0D · 1L
SL Benfica · last 5
WWWWW
5W · 0D · 0L
Top scorers playing today
- Vangelis PavlidisSL Benfica8goals
- Gianluca PrestianniSL Benfica5goals
- André SilvaPorto3goals
- Gabriel VeigaPorto3goals
Primeira Liga top scorers
- 1Gonçalo PaciênciaSanta Clara5
- 2Luis SuárezSporting CP5
- 3BarberoArouca4
- 4Leandro AntonettiAmadora4
- 5Georgios KoutsiasFamalicão3
- 6Pau Victor DelgadoBraga3
- 7Héctor HernándezGil Vicente3
- 8Flávio GonçalvesSporting CP3
Most likely scorelines
- #12 - 019.0%
- #21 - 018.3%
- #33 - 012.3%
- #40 - 011.3%
- #51 - 18.2%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →