Primera Division · Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 02:15 PM
Club Atlético de MadridvsReal Madrid CF
Outcome probabilities
34%
31%
35%
Atleti winDrawReal Madrid win
Atleti
34%
fair odds 2.91
Draw
31%
fair odds 3.28
Real Madrid
35%
fair odds 2.84
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.32 - 1.34
Both teams to score
56%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
Head to head · last 5
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
12
Goals for
12
Goals against
Form & scorers
Atleti · last 5
WLLWD
2W · 1D · 2L
Real Madrid · last 5
WWLWW
4W · 0D · 1L
Top scorers playing today
- Kylian MbappéReal Madrid6goals
- Álex BaenaAtleti3goals
Primera Division top scorers
- 1Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano6
- 2RaphinhaBarça6
- 3Lamine YamalBarça6
- 4Roberto FernándezEspanyol5
- 5Pierre-Emerick AubameyangDeportivo5
- 6Yassir ZabiriSantander5
- 7Fermín LópezBarça4
- 8Ante BudimirOsasuna4
Most likely scorelines
- #11 - 114.6%
- #20 - 09.3%
- #31 - 28.3%
- #42 - 18.2%
- #50 - 17.2%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →